I don't bet, I just trade !!!
I found out that betting will only lead to disaster or addiction, trading back-lay is much better. $$
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Aldo I do trading, I might come back..
Tuesday, June 10th, 2008 12:52


I noticed that I have good prediction on unpredictable matches :)

I already tried to write it but I lost will to do it.

I think I might do it now. My stake will always be 10 so I can keep track of my predictions, profits.

I don't expekt that anybody follows me. My past, well at first I had great ROI of 120% but I hurried, well now I'm more serious, let us see where would I be in next few months.







Switzerland - Portugal
Monday, June 16th, 2008 08:45
Soccer - Euro 2008


Pick:  Portugal   Result: Pending
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  2.38
Bookmaker:  Pinnacle   vCash: No  
Posted: Jun 15, 2008, 12:49

Hosts against unstopable Portugal.

There is only 1 thing why I "doubt" this event, Swiss are hosts and Portugal already clasified, Swiss is not so good team but they will fight, to be last in group with 0 points, hosts, don't think so,, but Portugal has good bench so even if Portugal is resting, I believe this will be good fight, complete Swiss against "wounded" Portugal, who will win ?

I do cheer for Swiss, but I think odds of 2.4 on Portugal, even spare team is big enough to bet on.

16:00 - ODDS are now over 2.45 It means that ppl doubt that Portugal will play wth most of the important players. Well I think that Swiss could suprise here, but I will stay with my pick, it's still Value bet.







Sweden - Spain    +7
Sunday, June 15th, 2008 06:00
Soccer - Euro 2008


Pick:  Spain   Result: 1:2
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  1.70
Bookmaker:  Interwetten   vCash: No  
Posted: Jun 14, 2008, 17:11

Well I forgot to type about Netherlands (my favorites this Euro 2008, after Croatia ofcourse)..

Odds were 3.00 and I was 80% sure that they will win with handicap, nvm now, I forgot about blog.

Spain is on streak, I doubt that Sweeden can stop them.






Salis 10th Jun - 15:15 6f Mdn Stks    -10
Wednesday, June 11th, 2008 03:15
Horse Racing - UK


Pick:  Measurement will not win    Result: 1st
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  1.31
Bookmaker:  Betfair   vCash: No
Posted: Jun 10, 2008, 13:44

I set wrong time :(

Cause I changed my Betfair time from UK to mine +2






N Kiefer - R Haase    +3.8
Wednesday, June 11th, 2008 02:00
Tennis - ATP


Pick:  N Kiefer ML   Result: 2:1
Stake:  1/10   Odds:  1.48
Bookmaker:  Betfair   vCash: No  
Posted: Jun 10, 2008, 13:30

Well Haase is bad on grass.

I susspect on OVER
Over was at odds 1.95 Bet365

Currect result:
And that it means 1:2 for Kiefer, now its (6:4 3:6 2:1) for Haase.


(I just now see that I have wrong stake, but I said on top that I will use top (10) stakes on all my picks )






Zvonareva v Ivanovic    -10
Friday, April 13th, 2007 00:00
Tennis - WTA


Pick:  Ivanovic   Result: 6:3 6:3
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  2.12
Bookmaker:  Betfair   vCash: No  
Posted: Apr 12, 2007, 11:59

Ivanovic is not in best form, but she can suprise every moment.

To bad that I didn't mention Zheng yesterday, I don't know why, I was kinda surprised that the odds where so high, I took 2.64 on Zheng and she won easily.

I think Ivanovic will win this easily too. She had easy match yesterday.

Odds are good enough to try ! :)

Well odds were too big, at 2.28, then fallen on 2, I took both, so I traded, I found out that Ivanovic has some problems, so this wasn't good idea after all.

To easy win for Zvonareva.. Sometimes you find out info to late..






Chela v Ljubicic    -10
Thursday, March 29th, 2007 20:00
Tennis - ATP


Pick:  Chela   Result: 3:6 5:7
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  2.94
Bookmaker:  Betfair   vCash: No  
Posted: Mar 29, 2007, 18:56








Just info ..
Tuesday, March 27th, 2007 14:36


I didn't look much at betfair grafs (odds changes) ..

But maybe this is important info.

On Chekvadenze going down, on Roddick odds are going up kinda fast big steps, starting odds were 1.4 and now 1.5 !

On Federer are going up too, maybe cause Canas won him last time ... 1.1 now !

We will see if this helps.

After matches.... Li could win, but she was on edge, almost, but almost doesn't count. Roddick woke up, and won like I expected. Canas won first set, I expected that, so I earned on live, now Federer coming back ..

Delic had so many break balls, 10 in first set, and he didn't REALIZE 1 ! Now while I was typing he realized his first in second set, for 1:3 :( Too bad, he has potencial.



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Chakvetadaze v Li    -10
Tuesday, March 27th, 2007 16:00
Tennis - WTA


Pick:  Li   Result: 4:6 7:5 6:2
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  2.20
Bookmaker:  Betfair   vCash: No  
Posted: Mar 27, 2007, 14:25

Chakve had kinda easier match against Santangelo while Li had trouble to win Clijsters. But wining Clijsters is big deal.

Li is probably more tired then Chakve, but Li can win this match or at least make Chakve sweat :)

Odds are slightly going down for Chakve (up for Li), on Betfair.

Other predictions:

Murray (1.32), Robredo (1.52), S Williams (revenge for sister :)) (1.75), Roddick (1.49) (after matchec: all correct) !

I will trade live. Good luck.

P.S. Remember I run this blog only to test underdogs, you follow on your own risk. I don't bet on this picks.






Delic v Chela    -10
Tuesday, March 27th, 2007 18:30
Tennis - ATP


Pick:  Delic   Result: 3:6 2:6
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  3.65
Bookmaker:  Betfair   vCash: No  
Posted: Mar 27, 2007, 14:15

Well I know this is kinda forcing stuff. But I knew Delic will come this far, so I think he can win this match too.

Few arguments:

- he is from USA
- he played good so far
- serving good

Had some filings about: Canas, Garbin, Delic even that Li will be hard battle or win.

Today I don't have any special filing about this match, just think its possible.






Gajdosova v Castano    +16.2
Friday, March 23rd, 2007 14:00
Tennis - WTA


Pick:  Castano   Result: 6:3 7:5
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  2.62
Bookmaker:  Betfair   vCash: No  
Posted: Mar 23, 2007, 12:21

I'm not sure in this, but I will play on all of my picks with bet size of 10 !

I think Castano will win this match.

I hope to be in + on long run ! Good luck.

I forgot to write about Tipsarevic and Delis :( I must get used to this blog :)

But good start, every single one I thought won, all odds over 2.5 !






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About me

Name:  Tomislav
Location:  CRO/Zagreb
Betting:  Full-time
 
Statistics
 
Picks: 118 
Won: 72 
Win rate: 61% 
Stake avg.: 8.5 
Staked: 994.00 
Returned: 974.9 
Net balance: -19.1 
ROI*: 98% 
Streak: ?  
vCash (0/0): $100.00 

*ROI = Return Of Investment




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